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Crown Green Handicap

Harry Orrett

Team: Carr Mill BDivision: Division 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

750

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

99

Matches Played

63

Wins

36

Losses

64%

Win Rate

8.7

Avg Win Margin

7.8

Avg Loss Margin

35-16

Home Record

28-20

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
60 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/1/2026

A large recent sample: 60 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 41-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

50 Wins

63 wins

Next goal: Hot Streak 1513/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS
2026
90% Season90%
10-Game Streak13 in a row

Handicap Trend

All Time · 99 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

10 May9 Aug6 Jun9 Apr9 Jul6 May29 Jul2 Jun1 Sept-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
75%
score+0.50→contribution+0.20
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.9
score+0.15→contribution+0.04
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.2
score-0.03→contribution-0.00
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
90%
score+0.80→contribution+0.08
Opponent Strength(10%)
699
score+0.18→contribution+0.02
Weighted Score+0.331
Sample Size Confidence
100%(60/41 matches)
Rating1099 → shrunk 1099→ adjusted 749
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)749
Recency Blend40% (60 recent matches)
Final Rating749
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

63W36L99 matches·63.6% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Carr Mill B2022–2026Division 3, Division 299633663.6%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/1/2026John KerrH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
8/26/2026Les HattonA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
8/18/2026Dave AthertonH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
8/12/2026Jamie RathboneA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
8/4/2026Geoff GaskellH4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 3
7/21/2026Mike CramptonH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
7/14/2026Peter JaundrillH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
7/8/2026Peter GriffithsH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
7/7/2026Paul SandisonA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
6/23/2026Peter WebsterA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
6/16/2026Harry SmithH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
6/10/2026L JonesA21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 3
6/2/2026Alan TaylorH21-2WIN+19LeagueDivision 3
5/19/2026Phil GreenwoodH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
5/13/2026Mike DavinA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
5/5/2026Ray MillerA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
4/28/2026Phil NewH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
4/21/2026Peter GriffithsA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 3
4/14/2026Martin FostersH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
4/7/2026G McClurgA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
9/2/2025B MurphyH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
8/19/2025Phil WatkinsonH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
8/12/2025Peter JaundrillA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
8/5/2025Derek MercerH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 3
7/29/2025Geoff HoughtonA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
7/22/2025Ray IllingH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 3
7/15/2025Anthony BurrowsH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
7/9/2025Andy LittlerA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
7/1/2025Paul SandisonH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
6/24/2025Bill AssonA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
6/17/2025Wilf KayH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
6/11/2025Malcolm WilczynskiA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 3
6/3/2025Peter JaundrillH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
5/27/2025Peter GriffithsA21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 3
5/20/2025Andy HillH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
5/13/2025Ray IllingA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 3
5/6/2025Steve O'BrienA21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 3
4/29/2025James LeachH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
4/15/2025Martin FostersH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
4/9/2025Tom EustaceA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
9/3/2024K GleaveH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
8/27/2024Jim StottA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 3
8/20/2024John PyeH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
8/14/2024Dave AshcroftA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
8/6/2024Les RobertsH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 3
7/30/2024P MurphyA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
7/23/2024Terry JonesH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 3
7/16/2024Alan DelahuntH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
7/9/2024Mike HenthornA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
7/2/2024Brian OwenH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
6/25/2024John HarrisonA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
6/18/2024Les HattonH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
6/12/2024Alf ThomasA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 3
6/4/2024David DuffyH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
5/28/2024Paul LiptrotA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 3
5/21/2024Ernie HarrisonH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
5/14/2024Peter FreeA21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 3
5/7/2024Ron PickavanceA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
4/30/2024Mike HenthornH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
4/9/2024Geoff ParrA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
9/5/2023Mal PerksH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
8/29/2023Brian PillingA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
8/1/2023Bill MolyneuxH4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 2
7/25/2023Mike BeardA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
7/18/2023Alan WrightH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
7/11/2023Chris LeighA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
7/4/2023Graham ParrH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
6/27/2023Ian PalmerA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
6/20/2023Austin DavisH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
6/13/2023Paul FerrisA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
6/6/2023P MooreH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
5/30/2023Paul WoodwardA21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
5/23/2023Brian ForsythA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
5/16/2023Stephen TinsleyH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
5/9/2023Alan WrightA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
5/2/2023Gordon LoweH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
4/25/2023John WhiteA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
4/18/2023Ian PalmerH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 2
4/11/2023Derek PeachA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
8/30/2022John JellyA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
8/23/2022Chris LeighH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
8/16/2022Ron PickavanceA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
8/9/2022Derek RogersH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
8/2/2022Colin JonesH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
7/26/2022Dave NimmoA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
7/19/2022Neil CunninghamH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
7/12/2022Jim StottA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
7/5/2022Geoff FosterH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
6/28/2022John CloughA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
6/21/2022Brian EllisH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
6/14/2022John MacklinA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
6/7/2022Doug LaceH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
5/31/2022G HarperA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
5/17/2022A FinneyH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
5/10/2022George MarshA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
5/3/2022Steve SmithH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
4/26/2022Keith MakinA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
4/19/2022Lance FletcherH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
4/12/2022Graham BrandA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

4wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

13

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

4

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WWWWL
Last 1090% win rate— steady
WWWWLWWWWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Peter Jaundrill21366.7%7/14/2026
Peter Griffiths303100%7/8/2026
Les Hatton202100%8/26/2026
Paul Sandison202100%7/7/2026
Martin Fosters0220%4/14/2026
Ray Illing11250%7/22/2025
Jim Stott0220%8/27/2024
Mike Henthorn11250%7/9/2024
Ron Pickavance0220%5/7/2024
Alan Wright0220%7/18/2023
Biggest Win
Alan Taylor (+19)6/2/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Geoff Gaskell (-17)8/4/2026
Favourite Victim
Peter Griffiths3-0 H2H
Best Season
202690% · 20 matches
Worst Season
202235% · 20 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
51% → 76%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
75299 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-10% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
63-3564% win rate

By Division

Division 345-15 (75%)
Division 218-21 (46%)
Division 246.2%
18W·21L·39 played
Division 375%
45W·15L·60 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Sep 1, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (4.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

19.8 (99 total)

Seasons

20222023202420252026